Equity Compensation Planning: Yes, the Stock Price Can Also Decline

Written by: Martin X. Shields, CFP®, AIF®

When I work with clients who receive equity compensation, three primary areas guide our conversations:

  • The investment opportunity within the equity holdings

  • The tax implications associated with those holdings

  • Mitigating risk tied to concentrated equity positions

The final area is often the most challenging. Many executives are passionate about their companies and naturally focus on upside potential. However, comprehensive equity compensation planning requires evaluating multiple scenarios, including those where stock prices decline.

For executives in Saratoga Springs and throughout the Capital Region, thoughtful planning around concentrated stock exposure is a critical component of long-term wealth management.

Concentration Risk and Equity Holdings

Planning discussions vary depending on:

  • The type of company

  • Current stock price and valuation

  • Price-to-earnings ratios

  • Size of the holding

  • Concentration risk

  • Career stage and position within the company

Given the complexity of stock options, restricted stock units (RSUs), and other equity compensation benefits, a structured and disciplined process can help executives pursue long-term financial success regardless of market direction.

At Bouchey Financial Group, an independent fiduciary wealth management firm serving Saratoga Springs and the greater Capital Region, we work with executives to align equity compensation planning with broader financial goals.

Learn more about our approach to wealth management here:

https://bouchey.com/our-services

Recent Examples Highlight the Importance of Planning

Two recent stock charts reinforce the need for disciplined planning.

Walmart (WMT)

Walmart’s stock has quadrupled over the past six years and increased sevenfold over the past ten years. Its current price-to-earnings ratio sits well above its historical average.

While Walmart has successfully evolved as a company, history shows that dramatic increases can sometimes be followed by extended periods of plateau or volatility. For individuals with significant equity compensation exposure, this may be an appropriate time to reassess allocation strategy.

walmart graph equity compensation blog

Selling shares at elevated valuations is often about risk mitigation rather than making a statement about the company’s future. A disciplined strategy allows investors to reduce concentration risk while maintaining long-term exposure.

Corning (GLW)

Corning has experienced strong demand driven by fiber production supporting AI data centers. The company is positioned well within a growing sector.

However, history demonstrates how quickly conditions can change. In the late 1990s, Corning saw similar demand during the expansion of internet infrastructure. After the technology bubble burst, the stock declined dramatically and did not reach new highs for many years.

This example illustrates an important principle of equity compensation planning: even strong companies operating in promising industries can experience substantial volatility.

corning graph equity compensation blog

For additional investor education on equity risk and market volatility, visit:
https://www.sec.gov
https://www.finra.org

The Broader Risk for Executives

Equity compensation risk is often compounded because an executive’s salary, bonuses, and future career trajectory are tied to the same company as their stock holdings.

When income, career, and investment assets are interconnected, concentration risk increases significantly.

While executives may understand many of the internal opportunities and risks within their organization, external variables such as industry disruption, regulatory change, or macroeconomic shifts remain outside their control.

These unknown risks are frequently the most consequential.

A Disciplined Approach to Equity Compensation Planning

Effective equity compensation planning is not about predicting stock prices. It is about:

  • Managing concentration risk

  • Integrating tax planning

  • Protecting long-term financial goals

  • Creating flexibility across market cycles

As a fiduciary wealth management firm serving executives throughout the Capital Region, Bouchey Financial Group emphasizes structured, scenario-based planning designed to support long-term financial stability.

Explore more insights here:
https://bouchey.com/insights-perspectives


Important Disclosure
This article is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and in consultation with qualified financial and tax professionals.